000
WTPZ22 KNHC 191434
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072011
1500 UTC FRI AUG 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 115.7W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  60SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 115.7W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 115.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.3N 117.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.3N 119.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.1N 121.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.8N 122.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.3N 125.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 115.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART