000
WTPZ22 KNHC 190839
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072011
0900 UTC FRI AUG 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 115.1W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  80SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 115.1W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 114.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.5N 116.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.5N 119.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 18.0N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 115.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA