000
WTPZ22 KNHC 182047
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072011
2100 UTC THU AUG 18 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 112.6W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 112.6W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 112.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 19.0N 114.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.1N 116.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.9N 120.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 18.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 18.0N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 112.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/WROE