000
WTPZ22 KNHC 181442
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072011
1500 UTC THU AUG 18 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 111.5W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  65SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 111.5W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 110.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.9N 113.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 19.1N 116.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.2N 118.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.2N 120.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  65SE  55SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 19.0N 124.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 19.0N 126.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 111.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN