000
WTPZ22 KNHC 180837
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072011
0900 UTC THU AUG 18 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 109.9W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 109.9W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 109.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.4N 112.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.8N 114.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.0N 116.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.0N 118.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.0N 121.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 19.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 19.0N 125.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 109.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI