000
WTPZ22 KNHC 180234
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072011
0300 UTC THU AUG 18 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 108.3W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 108.3W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 107.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.1N 110.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.9N 115.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 108.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN