000
WTPZ22 KNHC 211442
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022011
1500 UTC TUE JUN 21 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING
SOUTH OF LA FORTUNA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA FORTUNA NORTHWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 105.5W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 15NE 390SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 105.5W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 105.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.3N 106.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.8N 108.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.1N 109.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.2N 111.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.3N 114.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 105.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN