000
WTPZ22 KNHC 210833
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022011
0900 UTC TUE JUN 21 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING
EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 104.3W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 420SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 104.3W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 104.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.5N 105.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 20.4N 106.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.7N 108.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.9N 109.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 21.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 21.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 104.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN