000
WTPZ22 KNHC 210234
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022011
0300 UTC TUE JUN 21 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF
ZIHUATANEJO
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 103.5W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 390SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 103.5W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 103.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.6N 104.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.5N 105.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.0N 107.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.2N 108.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.5N 111.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 20.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 20.5N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 103.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA