000
WTPZ22 KNHC 202039
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022011
2100 UTC MON JUN 20 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWESTWARD FROM LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF
ZIHUATANEJO
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 103.1W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 420SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 103.1W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 102.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.6N 103.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.6N 104.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.4N 105.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 20.0N 107.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 20.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 20.5N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 103.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN