000 WTPZ22 KNHC 201437 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022011 1500 UTC MON JUN 20 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF ZIHUATANEJO * FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 102.9W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 180SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 102.9W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 102.7W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.1N 103.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.1N 104.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N 105.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 35SW 35NW. 50 KT... 55NE 55SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.8N 106.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 55SE 55SW 55NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 70SW 105NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.0N 110.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 20.0N 113.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 20.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 102.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN