000 WTPZ22 KNHC 200840 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022011 0900 UTC MON JUN 20 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING NORTHWARD TO LA FORTUNA. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF ZIHUATANEJO...AND FROM NORTH OF LA FORTUNA TO CABO CORRIENTES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 102.6W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 240SE 180SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 102.6W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 102.3W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.6N 103.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.6N 104.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.7N 104.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 19.4N 105.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 35SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.2N 109.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 20.2N 112.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 20.2N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 102.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN