000
WTPZ22 KNHC 200232
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM BEATRIZ FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022011
0300 UTC MON JUN 20 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO WESTWARD TO MANZANILLO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF MANZANILLO WESTWARD TO LA FORTUNA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TECPAN DE GALEANA WESTWARD TO EAST OF
ZIHUATANEJO
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.1W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.1W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.7N 102.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.9N 103.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.9N 104.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.8N 105.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.0N 108.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 20.0N 112.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 20.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 102.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/FRANKLIN