000
WTPZ22 KNHC 222034
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022009
2100 UTC MON JUN 22 2009
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTO
SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO PUNTO SAN
TELMO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANDRES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 102.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  90SE  60SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 102.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 102.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.1N 103.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.4N 104.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.6N 105.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.6N 107.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.5N 110.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 22.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 22.0N 116.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 102.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BLAKE