000
WTPZ22 KNHC 220830
TCMEP2
TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022009
0900 UTC MON JUN 22 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
NORTHWARD TO MANZANILLO MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANDRES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 102.1W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 102.1W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.6N 102.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.5N 103.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.6N 104.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.0N 105.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 21.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 21.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 102.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH