000
WTPZ22 KNHC 212030
TCMEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022009
2100 UTC SUN JUN 21 2009
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 101.7W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 101.7W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 101.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.8N 102.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.2N 102.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.8N 103.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.9N 104.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 19.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 21.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 21.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 101.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH