000
WTPZ21 KNHC 090838
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112023
0900 UTC SAT SEP 09 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 124.6W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 124.6W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 124.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.3N 125.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.4N 126.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.3N 127.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.6N 128.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 24.3N 129.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 23.9N 130.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 22.7N 133.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 124.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS