000
WTPZ21 KNHC 080838
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112023
0900 UTC FRI SEP 08 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 119.7W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 420SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 119.7W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 119.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 20.0N 121.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.1N 123.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.5N 125.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.7N 127.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 24.6N 127.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 25.0N 128.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 25.0N 130.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 24.6N 133.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 119.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI