000
WTPZ21 KNHC 070833
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112023
0900 UTC THU SEP 07 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 114.4W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  929 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 390SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 114.4W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 113.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.3N 116.4W
MAX WIND 150 KT...GUSTS 185 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.5N 119.1W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.7N 121.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.9N 124.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.2N 126.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.4N 128.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 25.0N 130.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 25.5N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 114.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI