000
WTPZ21 KNHC 061442
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112023
1500 UTC WED SEP 06 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 110.6W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  70SE  80SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 110.6W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 110.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.9N 112.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.7N 115.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.8N 117.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.0N 120.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.2N 123.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.5N 125.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 22.9N 129.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 24.9N 133.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 110.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BROWN