000
WTPZ21 KNHC 050851 CCA
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112023
0900 UTC TUE SEP 05 2023

CORRECTED MOVEMENT TO 10 KT
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 106.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 106.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 106.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 13.1N 107.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.7N 109.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 14.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.4N 113.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.8N 118.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.4N 123.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 22.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 106.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH