000
WTPZ21 KNHC 050233
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112023
0300 UTC TUE SEP 05 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 105.6W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 105.6W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 105.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 13.0N 106.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.6N 107.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.3N 110.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.1N 112.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.1N 114.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.4N 117.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 20.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 105.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART