000
WTPZ21 KNHC 051433
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062023
1500 UTC SAT AUG 05 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 106.8W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 106.8W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 106.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.4N 108.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.0N 110.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 22.2N 113.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 23.4N 116.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 24.4N 119.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 25.0N 121.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 25.6N 122.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 106.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS