000
WTPZ21 KNHC 282035
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012023
2100 UTC WED JUN 28 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 108.4W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 108.4W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 108.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 15.5N 109.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 15.8N 111.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.1N 112.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.4N 113.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.8N 114.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.1N 115.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.6N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 17.6N 117.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 108.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG