000
WTPZ21 KNHC 021446
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112022
1500 UTC FRI SEP 02 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 112.2W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  70SE  40SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 112.2W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 111.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 22.0N 113.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 23.8N 114.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.3N 117.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.1N 119.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 26.4N 122.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.3N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 25.7N 129.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 25.2N 132.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 112.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/REINHART