000 WTPZ21 KNHC 282031 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012022 2100 UTC SAT MAY 28 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM SALINA CRUZ TO LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FROM SALINA CRUZ TO BARRA DE TONALA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BARRA DE TONALA TO BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN AND FROM LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA TO PUNTA MALDONADO SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SALINA CRUZ TO LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SALINA CRUZ EASTWARD TO BARRA DE TONALA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SALINA CRUZ EASTWARD TO BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN * LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO PUNTA MALDONADO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF AGATHA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 98.1W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 98.1W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 98.0W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.0N 98.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 14.4N 98.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 14.9N 97.4W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 100SE 90SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 15.7N 96.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 10NW. 50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 80SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 16.5N 95.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 10SE 10SW 0NW. 34 KT... 30NE 70SE 70SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.5N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 98.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 29/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI