000
WTPZ21 KNHC 280854
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012022
0900 UTC SAT MAY 28 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO PUNTA MALDONADO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO PUNTA MALDONADO
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF AGATHA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  98.1W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  98.1W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  98.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.0N  98.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 13.4N  98.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 13.9N  98.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 14.6N  98.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 15.3N  97.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 16.2N  96.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 17.9N  94.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N  98.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 28/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BUCCI