000
WTPZ21 KNHC 100844
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KEVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112021
0900 UTC TUE AUG 10 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 113.3W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  90SE 150SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 120SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 113.3W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 113.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.8N 114.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  90SE 150SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.8N 115.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  80SE 100SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 21.0N 117.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.0N 119.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.9N 121.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 23.9N 123.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 26.0N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 27.5N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 113.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH