000
WTPZ21 KNHC 152034
TCMEP1
 
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062021
2100 UTC THU JUL 15 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 119.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 119.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 119.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.1N 120.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.9N 122.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.6N 123.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.5N 125.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 14.5N 127.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 14.5N 128.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 14.5N 132.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 14.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 119.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO