000
WTPZ21 KNHC 151432
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162020
1500 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 121.1W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 121.1W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 120.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 21.3N 122.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.4N 123.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.3N 125.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 23.7N 126.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.9N 127.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.5N 128.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 22.6N 130.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 121.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO