000
WTPZ21 KNHC 010248
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162019
0300 UTC TUE OCT 01 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING SOUTH OF ALTATA TO SAN BLAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALTATA TO GUAYMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 109.0W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 109.0W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 108.4W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 26.9N 110.0W...OVER WATER NEAR COAST
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 28.5N 111.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.4N 111.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N 109.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 01/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART