000
WTPZ21 KNHC 292055
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162019
2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE COASTS OF WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NARDA.  WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 103.5W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 103.5W AT 29/2100Z...INLAND
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 103.0W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.8N 105.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 23.0N 106.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.7N 108.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.7N 109.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 28.5N 110.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 103.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN