000
WTPZ21 KNHC 291455
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162019
1500 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 102.1W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 100SE  60SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 360SE 240SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 102.1W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 101.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.3N 103.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.5N 105.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.2N 107.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.5N 108.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 26.5N 109.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 28.0N 110.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 102.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 29/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN