000
WTPZ21 KNHC 290840
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062019
0900 UTC MON JUL 29 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 134.5W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 134.5W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 133.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.2N 136.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 12.8N 139.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.5N 142.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 14.1N 144.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 15.3N 148.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 16.0N 153.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 16.9N 158.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 134.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH