000
WTPZ21 KNHC 271432
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062019
1500 UTC SAT JUL 27 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 123.8W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 123.8W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 123.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 11.3N 126.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 11.9N 128.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.5N 131.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.2N 133.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 16.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 123.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA