000
WTPZ21 KNHC 120249
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  51
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212018
0300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO
CABO SAN LAZARO
* EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM MULEGE TO
BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
SERGIO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 115.4W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE 110SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE 210SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 115.4W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 116.2W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.7N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.6N 109.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 32.5N 105.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 115.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE