000 WTPZ21 KNHC 101444 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 1500 UTC WED OCT 10 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO CABO SAN LAZARO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA TO SAN EVARISTO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SERGIO. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED ON THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 123.5W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......110NE 120SE 110SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 300SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 123.5W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 124.0W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.7N 121.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 22.0N 119.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 24.5N 116.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 140SE 100SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N 104.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 123.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA