000
WTPZ21 KNHC 161448
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM ORLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
1500 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 125.9W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 125.9W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 125.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.8N 127.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.8N 129.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.9N 132.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.0N 134.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 20.5N 139.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 22.5N 142.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 125.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN