000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160854 CCA
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM ORLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
0900 UTC FRI SEP 16 2016

CORRECTED TO INCLUDE DISSIPATED FORECAST FOR DAY 5

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 125.2W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 125.2W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 124.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.9N 126.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.0N 128.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.0N 131.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.0N 133.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.4N 138.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 21.5N 142.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 125.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ZELINSKY