000
WTPZ21 KNHC 210230
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
0300 UTC THU JUL 21 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 125.5W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 125.5W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 124.9W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.9N 127.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.8N 130.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.0N 132.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.5N 135.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.9N 139.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 30.5N 142.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 125.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE