000
WTPZ21 KNHC 201435
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
1500 UTC WED JUL 20 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 123.3W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 123.3W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 122.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.5N 125.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.2N 128.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.0N 130.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.1N 133.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.6N 137.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 29.4N 141.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 123.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI