000
WTPZ21 KNHC 190831
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
0900 UTC TUE JUL 19 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 117.6W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 117.6W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 117.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.9N 119.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.3N 121.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.7N 123.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.3N 126.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 22.1N 131.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 25.0N 136.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 28.5N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 117.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART