000
WTPZ21 KNHC 182035
TCMEP1

TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016
2100 UTC MON JUL 18 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 115.8W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT.......140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 115.8W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 115.4W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.3N 117.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.8N 119.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.2N 121.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 80NE  40SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.7N 123.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.2N 129.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  40SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 24.0N 134.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 28.0N 137.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 115.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN