000
WTPZ21 KNHC 211431
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212015
1500 UTC SAT NOV 21 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 115.1W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 115.1W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 114.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.7N 116.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.6N 117.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.8N 118.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.8N 119.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.0N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 22.5N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 115.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN