000
WTPZ21 KNHC 200239
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212015
0300 UTC FRI NOV 20 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 108.1W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 108.1W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.9N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.5N 111.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.2N 112.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.8N 113.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.6N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 108.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART