000
WTPZ21 KNHC 192041
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212015
2100 UTC THU NOV 19 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 107.0W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 107.0W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 106.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.5N 108.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.2N 109.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.9N 111.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.5N 112.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.0N 114.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 21.2N 115.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 107.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN