000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160830
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112015
0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 114.6W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 114.6W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 114.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.9N 116.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.7N 119.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.7N 121.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 24.3N 124.1W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 27.0N 128.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 29.0N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 114.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE