000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160233
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112015
0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 113.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 113.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 112.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 115.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.8N 118.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.8N 120.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.7N 123.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 26.4N 127.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 28.5N 131.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 113.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG