000
WTPZ21 KNHC 121553
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062015
1600 UTC SUN JUL 12 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 125.3W AT 12/1600Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 125.3W AT 12/1600Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 124.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.5N 126.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.6N 127.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.3N 128.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.8N 130.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 17.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.8N 136.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 18.2N 138.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 125.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN