000
WTPZ21 KNHC 240242
TCMEP1

HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
0300 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 132.8W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 132.8W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 133.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.0N 131.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.2N 129.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.5N 128.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.5N 128.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.3N 127.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 18.0N 127.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 132.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY/BEVEN